Monday, June 25, 2012

13th Congressional Race Prediction


      Tomorrow is the new federal election primary day Tuesday June 26th and the polls will be open from 8 AM to 9 PM. The Republican Party will be choosing a candidate to run for U.S. Senate (to run against current U.S. Senator Kristen Gillabrand) from the three candidates running, and there are close Democratic primaries for congress in several congressional district such as the new 13th C.D. We took out our crystal ball and asked it to give us the results of the 13th C.D. race.
    
      Our crystal balls prediction in the 13th C.D. Democratic Primary is as follows. Mr. Craig Schley who ran in the 2010 general election on the Independence Party line and not in the Democratic Primary in 2010 will come in fifth place with up to 8 percent of the vote. Ms. Joyce Johnson has lost some of her luster from 2010 (including the endorsement of the New York Times), and in 2012 will garner less than 10 percent of the vote. Any of the remaining three candidates could win this race, but we see Mr. Clyde Williams coming in third with between 15 and 19 percent of the vote. That leaves close to 65 percent of the vote for Congressman Rangel and Senator Espaillat to split. Our crystal ball kept changing here, but when we asked it for the final tally and the winner it came up 36 percent for the new Congressman Adriano Espaillat and 29 percent for Mr. Charlie Rangel. Our crystal ball also had a message for Manhattan Democratic County Leader Assemblyman Keith Wright. The message for Mr. Wright was that next time you should make sure that there is more than one Latino in the race to split the Latino vote if you want to win the seat. Our crystal ball says that you have such a candidate. 

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