Most elected will say that it is not important how much you win by, but that you won the election. Two years ago Victor Pichardo won the 86th A.D. by almost the narrowest of margin, but Victor Pichardo won. In 2016 Victor Pichardo won again against the same opponent, and by a much larger margin of victory. Is Victor Pichardo safe, we will have to wait for two years to see.
In the 33rd State Senate District Gustavo Rivera won two years ago by a very wide margin. In 2016 Gustavo won against the same opponent, but by a smaller margin of victory. Is Gustavo Rivera safe, again we will have to wait for two years to see.
In the 78th A.D. Jose Rivera won two years ago by a huge margin over his opponent. In 2016 Jose won against a different opponent (which I said would win), but by a smaller margin of victory.
The reason I mention these three races is because most of the 33rd State Senate district covers the 78th and 86th A.D.'s. It looks like the smaller margin of victory by Jose Rivera in the 78th A.D. may of had something to do with the smaller margin of victory by Gustavo Rivera.
Kudos to the new State Senator from the 36th District Jamaal Bailey, and it was a smashing victory as soon to be Senator Bailey won with well over 50 percent of the vote in a five person race.
In other races Bronx Democratic County Leader Marcos Crespo won with 75 percent of the vote. Not bad, but not good since 15 percent of the drop off vote from Senator Diaz went elsewhere.
In the 87th A.D. Luis Sepulveda also could only garner 75 percent of the vote, which means he also lost 15 percent of the drop off vote from Senator Diaz Sr.
It may be time for Granny Arroyo to hang it up getting less than 65 percent of the vote which as the Assembly woman's age goes up her vote total goes down.
As for Jose Rivera's win I say to his opponent build now for the next two years. It may come sooner than you think. To Aldo Perez and Naomi Rivera thank you for those kind words, and I will use the advise you both gave me.
I did pretty good on my predictions, only missing on the Jose Rivera race. I was wrong in 2012, got it right in 2014, wrong in 2016, and should be right in 2018. Heck, I get it right every other primary in the 78th A.D.