Friends,
John Zaccaro, Jr.
Bronx Politics and Community events
Friends,
John Zaccaro, Jr.
According to preliminary seasonally adjusted figures released today by the New York State Department of Labor, the number of private sector jobs in New York State increased over the month by 10,800, or 0.1%, to 8,401,600 in July 2024. The number of private sector jobs in the U.S. also increased by 0.1% in July 2024.
New York State's private sector jobs (not seasonally adjusted) increased by 159,900, or 1.9%, over the year in July 2024, which was greater than the 1.4% increase in the number of private sector jobs in the U.S.
New York State's seasonally adjusted unemployment rate increased from 4.2% to 4.3% in July 2024. At the same time, New York State's labor force (seasonally adjusted) increased by 700. As a result, the statewide labor force participation rate held constant at 61.3% in July 2024.
The number of private sector jobs in New York State is based on a payroll survey of New York businesses conducted by the U.S. Department of Labor’s Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). Monthly payroll employment estimates are preliminary and subject to revision as more complete data become available the following month. The BLS calculates New York State’s unemployment rate based partly upon the results of the monthly Current Population Survey (CPS) of approximately 3,100 households in the State.
Note: Seasonally adjusted data provide the most valid month-to-month comparison. Non-seasonally adjusted data are valuable in year-to-year comparisons of the same month – for example, July 2023 versus July 2024.
July 2024 – Seasonally Adjusted
Over-the-Month % Change in Total Nonfarm & Private Sector Jobs, June 2024 – July 2024
Total Nonfarm and Private Sector Jobs Increased in July 2024Total Nonfarm and Private Sector Jobs (in 1000s), January 1990 – July 2024 |
July 2024 – Seasonally Adjusted
Labor Force Statistics, July 2023, June 2024 – July 2024
Total Labor Force & Number of Unemployed, January 2009 – July 2024
Unemployment Rate, NYS & US, January 2009 – July 2024
Unemployment Rate, NYC & BOS, January 2009 – July 2024
July 2024 – Not Seasonally Adjusted
Over-the-Year Change in Total Nonfarm & Private Sector Jobs, July 2023 – July 2024
Note: The sum of sub-state area job estimates will usually differ from the New York State total. This is because the State total is calculated separately from the sub-state areas and is estimated based on an independent sample.
Over-the-Year Change in Jobs by Major Industry Sector, July 2023 – July 2024
*Government includes public education and public health services.
Note: The responsibility for the production of monthly estimates of state and metro area nonfarm employment by industry moved from the NYS Department of Labor’s Division of Research and Statistics to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), starting with the March 2011 estimates. More detailed information on the change is available on the BLS web site.
Many economic data series have a seasonal pattern, which means they tend to occur at the same time each year (e.g., retail jobs usually increase in December). Seasonal adjustment is the process of removing seasonal effects from a data series. This is done to simplify the data so that they may be more easily interpreted and help to reveal true underlying trends. Seasonal adjustment permits comparisons of data from one month to data from any other month.
In New York State, payroll jobs data by industry come from a monthly survey of business establishments conducted by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Data are preliminary and subject to revision. Jobs data by industry do not include agricultural workers, the self-employed, unpaid family workers, or domestic workers in private households.
Labor force statistics, including the unemployment rate, for New York and every other state are based on statistical regression models specified by the U. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The state’s unemployment rate is based partly upon the results of the Current Population Survey, which contacts approximately 3,100 households in New York each month.
Jobs and Unemployment Fact Sheet This fact sheet conveys important technical information that will contribute to a better understanding of labor force data (“household survey”), including resident employment/unemployment rates, and jobs by industry data (“business survey”), which are presented in the New York State Department of Labor’s monthly press release. State Unemployment Rates Based on Regression Model Beginning with data for January 1996, unemployment rates for New York State and all other states (as well as New York City and the City of Los Angeles) have been estimated using time-series regression statistical models developed by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). Advantage of Regression Model Use of a time-series regression model reduces the month-to-month variation in unemployment rates and resident employment by reducing variation caused by sampling errors and other components of statistical noise (irregularities). Benchmarking of Estimates Once each year, labor force estimates, such as civilian labor force and the unemployment rate, are revised to reflect updated input data including new Census Bureau populations controls, newly revised establishment jobs data and new state-level annual average data from the Current Population Survey (CPS). As part of this procedure, all state figures are reviewed, revised as necessary and then re-estimated. This process is commonly referred to as “benchmarking.” Changes in Methodology Labor force estimates are now produced with an improved time-series regression model, which utilizes “real-time” benchmarking. “Real-time” benchmarking reduces end-of-year revisions, which also means that major economic events will be reflected in a more timely manner in state labor force estimates. In addition, the new methodology includes an updated way of estimating for sub-state areas (e.g. counties, metro areas) the number of unemployed who are new entrants or re-entrants into the labor force. This change in methodology will result in lower unemployment rates in some areas and increased rates in others. Unemployed and UI Beneficiaries The estimate of the number of unemployed includes all persons who had no employment during the reference week (the week including the 12th of the month), were available for work, except for temporary illness, and had made specific efforts to find employment sometime during the 4-week period ending with the reference week. Unemployment insurance (UI) beneficiaries include those who apply for and qualify for UI benefits. Consequently, the estimate of the number of unemployed and the number of UI beneficiaries do not necessarily move in tandem. Jobs Data Jobs data are obtained from a separate joint federal-state survey of business establishments. The survey, called the Current Employment Statistics of Establishments, has a sample size of 18,000 establishments in New York State. It excludes self-employed workers, agricultural workers, unpaid family workers and domestic workers employed by private households. This data represents a count of jobs by place of work. Data for each month is revised the following month as more complete information becomes available. The New York State Department of Labor is an Equal Opportunity Employer/Program. |
NYC Beaches in Brooklyn, Queens, and NPS Jacob Riis Beach will close as National Weather Service predicts swells of up to 6ft, wind gusts of up to 12 mph, and life-threatening rip currents
NYC Parks and National Park Service (NPS) today announced that all beaches in Brooklyn, Queens, and Jacob Riis Beach will be closed to swimming Saturday, August 17 and Sunday, August 18, due to the dangerous conditions predicted as an effect of Tropical Storm Ernesto--lifeguards will be on duty.
The National Weather Service predicts a dangerous rip current threat with possible ocean swells of up to 6 ft., Saturday and Sunday, which will affect all Atlantic Ocean beaches.
"Our primary focus is keeping New Yorkers safe, so as the impacts of Tropical Storm Ernesto approach New York City, we are closing our ocean-facing beaches in Queens and Brooklyn this weekend to protect New Yorkers from dangerous rip currents,” said New York City Mayor Eric Adams. "New Yorkers should know the ocean is more powerful than you are, particularly this weekend. Do not risk your life, or the lives of first responders, by swimming while our beaches are closed.”
"In consultation with our sister agency, the National Park Service (NPS) and based on conditions projected by the National Weather Service, Parks is closing beaches in Brooklyn and Queens to swimming tomorrow and Sunday,” said NYC Parks Commissioner Sue Donoghue. "Lifeguards will be on duty and patrolling the beaches, and we strongly urge all New Yorkers not to risk their lives by ignoring this directive.”
In addition, Parks enforcement staff will be posted along the coastline to enforce the swimming ban. New Yorkers are advised to adhere to all instructions for their own safety, and to visit Notify NYC for updates on beach closures.
Air Quality Health Advisory for Fine Particulate Matter Issued for Upper Hudson Valley and Adirondack Regions in Effect for Friday, August 16, Until Midnight
Potential for Air Quality Index Levels to Reach ‘Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups’
Urges Vulnerable Groups to Monitor the Air Quality Index, Avoid Exertion Outdoors, and Watch for Symptoms
Governor Kathy Hochul today encouraged New York residents and visitors to take appropriate precautions as Canadian wildfire smoke impacts the air quality in the Upper Hudson Valley and Adirondack regions. Air Quality Index (AQI) levels are expected to reach ‘unhealthy for sensitive groups' and an air quality health advisory for Fine Particulate Matter was issued until midnight Friday, August 16. New Yorkers in vulnerable groups should avoid exertion outdoors and watch for symptoms when exposed to the outdoors. Vulnerable individuals include those with cardiovascular disease (e.g., congestive heart failure, history of prior heart attack) or lung disease (e.g., asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease), as well as children under 18, adults 65 and older, and pregnant people. To check your location's current air quality, go to www.airnow.gov.
“Public safety is my top priority and New Yorkers need to be alert today as wildfire smoke starts to impact certain regions of the State,” Governor Hochul said. “I encourage vulnerable New Yorkers to pay attention to the State’s Air Quality Health Advisories and take necessary precautions to stay safe.”
The New York State Department of Environmental Conservation (DEC) is tracking smoke traveling across the Northeast from wildfires in Canada that is forecasted to reach surface levels and result in levels of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) being Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups.
DEC and the State Department of Health (DOH) issued an Air Quality Health Advisory for the Upper Hudson Valley and Adirondack regions for Friday, Aug. 16, 2024, until midnight. The Upper Hudson Valley Air Quality Health Advisory region includes Albany, Columbia, Fulton, Greene, Montgomery, Rensselaer, Saratoga, Schenectady, Schoharie, and Washington counties; the Adirondacks Air Quality Health Advisory region includes which includes Clinton, Essex, Franklin, Hamilton, northern Herkimer, Lewis, St. Lawrence, and Warren counties. DEC continues to monitor conditions and will update the forecast daily.
To keep New Yorkers aware, the New York State Department of Environmental Conservation provides daily air quality forecasts to ensure air quality information is available at New Yorkers’ fingertips. While New York State has some of the nation’s most stringent air quality regulations to reduce air pollution and protect public health and the environment, there are certain days that ozone or particulate matter can impact air quality in your community.
More information about the New York State Air Quality forecast is available here.
Air pollution can harm public health and natural resources in a variety of ways. Hot summer weather sets the stage for two major pollutants of concern for human health: the formation of ozone and fine particulate matter (PM2.5), tiny solid particles or liquid droplets in the air that are 2.5 microns or less in diameter. Fish and wildlife show harmful effects from acid rain and mercury in the air. Greenhouse gases in the air are changing the world's climate and contributing to harmful impacts including extreme heat, deadly flooding, drought, fires, rising sea levels, and severe storms.
To stay up-to-date with announcements from DEC, sign up to receive Air Quality Alerts through DEC Delivers. Visit dec.ny.gov for updated forecasts and information about air quality index levels, and the Department of Health website for information on health risks and precautions related to air quality.
Agreement Provides Substantial Wage Increases to Members, Secures Fair Deal for NYC Taxpayers, Improves Recruitment and Retention
Agreement Conforms to Pattern Established With DC 37 and Other City Unions
Administration Has Now Settled Contracts with Unions Representing Nearly 97 Percent of Municipal Employees
New York City Mayor Eric Adams and Office of Labor Relations (OLR) Commissioner Renee Campion today announced a tentative five-and-a-half-year contract agreement with the United Probation Officers’ Association (UPOA). This agreement will cover approximately 600 probation officers who work with individuals on probation to help provide them with opportunities to forge new pathways so that they can move out and stay out of the justice system.
The tentative agreement is retroactive — beginning on November 28, 2020 — and expires on June 12, 2026. It conforms to the pattern established by dozens of other unions over the last 18 months. The agreement includes wage increases of 3 percent for each of the first four years of the contract and 3.25 percent in the fifth year. The agreement also includes a lump sum ratification bonus of between $3,600 and $5,080, depending on the employee’s title, for all UPOA members who are in active payroll status on the date of ratification.
“Protecting public safety and making our city more affordable means investing in hard-working New Yorkers like our probation officers, who work tirelessly to keep our city safe by helping justice-involved people get back on — and stay on — the right path,” said Mayor Adams. “We’re proud to have secured well-earned and long-overdue wage increases for hundreds of thousands of dedicated public servants while ensuring that our labor contracts are fair deals for taxpayers as well. With the dozens of contracts we have negotiated, we are creating a fairer and more equitable city, delivering on our vision for a more affordable and livable city, and ensuring that New York City is not only the greatest city in the world to live, but also one of the greatest places to work.”
“New York City’s hardworking public servants, like our probation workers, deserve fair contracts, and I’m proud to be a part of an administration that is delivering for them,” said City Hall Chief Counsel Lisa Zornberg. “My thanks to Mayor Adams, Commissioner Campion, and UPOA President Dalvanie Powell for coming to this agreement, which secures a good deal for these vital public safety workers and a fair deal for New York City taxpayers.”
“Our dedicated men and women — the majority women of color — at the New York City Department of Probation work tirelessly to help individuals find the path to a better life, moving and staying out of the justice system,” said New York City Department of Probation Commissioner Juanita N. Holmes. “I thank Mayor Eric Adams, Deputy Mayor Philip Banks, City Hall Chief Counsel Lisa Zornberg, OLR Commissioner Renee Campion, and UPOA President Dalvanie Powell for working on this agreement. This contract exemplifies the collaborative efforts between Mayor Adams and Deputy Mayor Banks in advancing their unified vision of increased public safety in New York City and recognizes the invaluable work our officers do every day, from helping our clients rebuild their lives to ensuring the safety of our communities. By crafting personalized interventions and offering tailored educational and employment opportunities, our probation officers transform lives and play a crucial role in keeping our fellow New Yorkers safe. Probation officers are on the frontlines of justice, crafting personalized interventions, providing essential support, and fostering positive change; this new contract helps recognize them for their hard work to keep New York City safe.”
“I am extremely happy that the parties have reached this agreement, which provides significant wage increases for our hardworking and dedicated probation workers, who work tirelessly each day to assist individuals on probation and to help keep New York safe,” said OLR Commissioner Campion. “I would like to personally thank UPOA President Dalvanie Powell for her leadership and professionalism during these negotiations.”
“We are proud to have reached a tentative agreement on what we believe is a fair contract for our members,” said Dalvanie K. Powell, president, UPOA. “Probation is the heartbeat of our criminal justice system, working tirelessly to keep our communities safe while giving individuals under our supervision a second chance. We negotiated this contract with a clear focus on addressing the historic pay disparities that our members — who are mostly women and people of color — have faced, as well as improving working conditions and benefits. Our Executive Board approved this contract today and we will be meeting with our members to discuss the terms over the next week before this is put to a vote of our full membership. Our union remains committed to advocating for our members and ensuring that they are treated with the dignity and respect they deserve. We look forward to continuing to build on this agreement and advancing the interests of New York City’s probation officers.”
The tentative agreement — which must be ratified by the UPOA membership — also creates a new 11-year step pay plan for probation officers and supervisors, replacing the current salary ranges. Effective November 28, 2024, probation officers’ starting salaries will be $61,386 and the top pay will be $81,000. Supervising probation officers’ starting salaries will be $86,500 and the top pay will be $95,100. Employees who would earn above these pay rates with the pattern wage increases will be kept whole.
The total cost of the tentative agreement, through Fiscal Year 2028, will be approximately $52 million, which is fully funded in the financial plan.
UPOA members will receive the following compounded wage increases:
In the last 18 months, Mayor Adams has successfully negotiated contracts with unions representing nearly 97 percent of the city's workforce. These agreements with District Council 37, Communications Workers of America Local 1180, the Marine Engineers' Beneficial Association, the Uniformed Sanitation Workers' Union Local 831, the United Federation of Teachers, the Police Benevolent Association, the Uniformed Officers Coalition, the Council of School Supervisors and Administrators, Teamsters Local 237, and dozens of other unions, including the agreement with UPOA, have all included wage increases, including retroactive wage increases for employees that had not received a raise in years. Additionally, many of these contracts included dedicated funding to address retention and recruitment challenges and other important benefits.
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