It may sound like Bill DeBlasio has won the Democratic Primary without a run off election by getting 43 percent of the Democratic vote in the latest Quinnipiac poll, but lets look at the numbers.
From August 28 - September 1, Quinnipiac University surveyed 750 likely Democratic primary voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.6 percentage points and 101 likely Republican primary voters with a margin of error of +/- 9.8 percentage points.
From August 28 - September 1, Quinnipiac University surveyed 750 likely Democratic primary voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.6 percentage points and 101 likely Republican primary voters with a margin of error of +/- 9.8 percentage points.
| With seven days until the primary, 24 percent of likely Democratic primary voters say there is a good chance they will change their mind, but 61 percent of Thompson voters, 59 percent of De Blasio backers and 56 percent of Quinn supporters say they definitely will vote for their candidate. |
| That means by having about 300 people say they would vote for Bill DeBlasio in the Democratic Primary It looks like this race is over. However when the above statement is factored in along with the margin of error of the poll that number drops down to about 175 enthusiastic, but not definite votes for Bill DeBlasio. | |
| When you look into the numbers of the Quinnipiac College poll this is still a horse race, or should I say a race for Mayor or the Run Off election. This is like calling the Presidential race when that tiny town in New Hampshire comes in first with about a dozen votes. _____________________________________________________________ | |
| Here is a statement from the Joe Lhota Campaign about the poll
STATEMENT FROM THE LHOTA CAMPAIGN ON TODAY’S QUINNIPIAC POLL
September 3, 2013
“Today’s Quinnipiac poll showing Joe winning by a 2-1
margin is further proof that voters are looking for a serious
candidate with ideas about how to move the city forward,
while outright rejecting the negative personal and untruthful
attacks being waged by Mr. Catsimatidis.
We are heading into the final week of the campaign showing
strong momentum, having garnered the endorsements of
every newspaper that has weighed in on the Republican
primary. We look forward to a decisive victory on
September 10th and beginning a vigorous debate in the
general election.”
--Jessica Proud, Lhota campaign spokeswoman
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Editors Note: Only 101 Likely Republicans were polled
with Mr. Lhota receiving 48 %. That means only 26 probable
Republican votes have determined this poll.
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