Monday, June 26, 2023

100 PERCENT Primary Day Predictions


Let's do the easy race first For Bronx District Attorney in the Democratic Primary, the prediction is incumbent Bronx District Attorney Darcel D. Clark will win this race with 80% or better of the vote. 

There were only three city council districts that had Democratic primaries, the 12th, 13th, and 14th  districts, and one district that had a Republican Party and a Conservative Party primary, the 13th council district. Democratic primaries first.

In the 12th Council District the prediction is that incumbent city council member Kevin C. Riley will win the primary without having to go through Rank Choice Voting  with 71% of the vote. challenger Aisha Hernandez Ahmed receiving 17% of the vote, and challenger Pamela A. Hamilton-Johnson receiving 12%  of the vote.

In the Democratic primary in the 13th council district the prediction is that incumbent council member Marjorie Velazquez will win the primary without having to go through Rank Choice Voting with 61%  of the vote. Challenger John Perez will receive 19% of the vote, challenger Bernadette Ferrara will receive 14% of the vote, and challenger Irene Estrada will receive 6% of the vote.

In the 14th Council District the prediction is that Incumbent city council member Pierina Sanchez will win the primary with 68% of the vote, and challenger Rachael T. Miller Bradshaw receiving 32% of the vote.

In the Republican primary in the 13th City Council district the prediction is that Kristy Marmorato will win without having to go into Rank Choice Voting with 56% of the vote. Challenger George Havranek will receive 31% of the vote, and challenger Hasime Samantha Zherka receiving 13% of the vote. 

There is no prediction for the Conservative Party primary in the 13th City Council race. 

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