Thursday, October 20, 2022

NYS Economy Added 17,400 Private Sector Jobs in September 2022

We Are Your DOL - New York State Department of Labor
Unemployment Rate Decreased by 0.4 Percentage Points in September

 According to preliminary seasonally adjusted figures released today by the New York State Department of Labor, the number of private sector jobs in New York State increased over the month by 17,400, or 0.2%, to 8,061,500 in September 2022. The number of private sector jobs in the U.S. also increased by 0.2% in September 2022.

    New York State's private sector jobs (not seasonally adjusted) increased by 361,400, or 4.7%, over the year in September 2022, which exceeded the 4.2% increase in the number of private sector jobs in the U.S.

    New York State's seasonally adjusted unemployment rate decreased from 4.7% in August to 4.3% in September 2022. From September 2021 to September 2022, the unemployment rate (not seasonally adjusted) fell from 5.7% to 3.9%.

    From August to September 2022, New York State's labor force (seasonally adjusted) decreased by 36,600. At the same time, the labor force participation rate went down from 60.5% in August 2022 to 60.3% in September 2022.

    The number of private sector jobs in New York State is based on a payroll survey of New York businesses conducted by the U.S. Department of Labor’s Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). Monthly payroll employment estimates are preliminary and subject to revision as more complete data become available the following month. The BLS calculates New York State’s unemployment rate based partly upon the results of the monthly Current Population Survey (CPS) of approximately 3,100 households in the State.

Note: Seasonally adjusted data are used to provide the most valid month-to-month comparison. Non-seasonally adjusted data are valuable in year-to-year comparisons of the same month – for example, September 2021 versus September 2022.

Statewide Industry Employment

September 2022 – Seasonally Adjusted

  • On a net basis, the total number of nonfarm jobs in the state increased by 15,600 over the month, while private sector jobs rose by 17,400, in September 2022.
  • At the same time, the total number of nonfarm jobs in the nation increased by 263,000, while private sector jobs increased by 288,000.

     

NYS Job Growth Equals Nation’s

Over-the-Month % Change in Total Nonfarm & Private Sector Jobs, August – September 2022  

NYS Job Growth Equals Nation's

Total Nonfarm and Private Sector Jobs Increased in September 2022

Total Nonfarm and Private Sector Jobs (in 1000s), September 1990 – September 2022

Total Nonfarm and Private Sector Jobs Increased in September 2022

Statewide Unemployment

September 2022 – Seasonally Adjusted

  • In September 2022, the statewide unemployment rate decreased from 4.7% to 4.3%.
  • New York City’s unemployment rate decreased from 6.6% to 5.6%. Outside of New York City, the unemployment rate increased from 3.2% to 3.3%.
  • The number of unemployed New Yorkers decreased over the month by 39,400, from 445,100 in August to 405,700 in September 2022.

 

NYS Unemployment Decreased in September 2022

Labor Force Statistics,  September 2021, August - September 2022

NYS Unemployment decreased in September 2022

The Labor Force and Number of Unemployed Decreased in September

Total Labor Force & Number of Unemployed, September 2010 - September 2022


NYS and US Unemployment Rates Decreased

Unemployment Rate Decreased in NYC, Increased in Balance of State

Unemployment Rate, NYC & BOS, September 2010 - September 2022

Unemployment Rate Decreased in NYC, Increased in Balance of State

Substate and Industry Employment 

September 2022 – Not Seasonally Adjusted

New York State Exceeded Nation in Job Growth

Over-the-Year Change in Total Nonfarm & Private Sector Jobs, September 2021 – September 2022

New York State Exceeded Nation in Job Growth

Note: The sum of sub-state area job estimates will usually differ from the New York State total. This is because the State total is calculated separately from the sub-state areas and is estimated based on an independent sample.

Jobs and Unemployment Fact Sheet

This fact sheet conveys important technical information that will contribute to a better understanding of labor force data (“household survey”), including resident employment/unemployment rates, and jobs by industry data (“business survey”), which are presented in the New York State Department of Labor’s monthly press release.

State Unemployment Rates Based on Regression Model

Beginning with data for January 1996, unemployment rates for New York State and all other states (as well as New York City and the City of Los Angeles) have been estimated using time-series regression statistical models developed by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).

Advantage of Regression Model

Use of a time-series regression model reduces the month-to-month variation in unemployment rates and resident employment by reducing variation caused by sampling errors and other components of statistical noise (irregularities).

Benchmarking of Estimates

Once each year, labor force estimates, such as civilian labor force and the unemployment rate, are revised to reflect updated input data including new Census Bureau populations controls, newly revised establishment jobs data and new state-level annual average data from the Current Population Survey (CPS). As part of this procedure, all state figures are reviewed, revised as necessary and then re-estimated. This process is commonly referred to as “benchmarking.”

Changes in Methodology

Labor force estimates are now produced with an improved time-series regression model, which utilizes “real-time” benchmarking. “Real-time” benchmarking reduces end-of-year revisions, which also means that major economic events will be reflected in a more timely manner in state labor force estimates.

In addition, the new methodology includes an updated way of estimating for sub-state areas (e.g. counties, metro areas) the number of unemployed who are new entrants or re-entrants into the labor force. This change in methodology will result in lower unemployment rates in some areas and increased rates in others.

Unemployed and UI Beneficiaries

The estimate of the number of unemployed includes all persons who had no employment during the reference week (the week including the 12th of the month), were available for work, except for temporary illness, and had made specific efforts to find employment sometime during the 4-week period ending with the reference week. Unemployment insurance (UI) beneficiaries include those who apply for and qualify for UI benefits. Consequently, the estimate of the number of unemployed and the number of UI beneficiaries do not necessarily move in tandem.

Jobs Data

Jobs data are obtained from a separate joint federal-state survey of business establishments. The survey, called the Current Employment Statistics of Establishments, has a sample size of 18,000 establishments in New York State. It excludes self-employed workers, agricultural workers, unpaid family workers and domestic workers employed by private households. This data represents a count of jobs by place of work. Data for each month is revised the following month as more complete information becomes available.

The New York State Department of Labor is an Equal Opportunity Employer/Program.

Auxiliary aids and services are available upon request to individuals with disabilities.

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